Arlington Park August 19
Insider Picks and Power Plays
"Top 3" Selections ranks horses by the level of their overall past performances
and by the estimated probability of repeating their most recent race. An
asterisk, *, next to the program number identifies the top pick. The "Speed"
picks are based solely on recent Speed Ratings of each horse. The "Class"
picks are the horses that have run the best against the highest quality of
competition. The "Pace" rankings predict today's likely frontrunners based
on first call Pace Ratings of each horse. 3 STAR BEST BETS offer the highest
percentage plays available. A 3 STAR BEST BET may not always be found on every
card.
3 STAR BEST BETS: Race 3) #1A Street Sense; Race 6) #3 Without a Doubt
Track: Arlington Park - 8/19/2006
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24 Hour Advance Forecast: Mostly cloudy, high 79, 40% chance of
precipitation. Low 67.
APX # 1) 6 Furlongs Fillies 2YO Maiden Claiming $40,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Early Daily Double (Races 1-2) / $2 Exacta,
$0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Top 3: 2-1-3 Speed: 2-4-6 Class: 4-2-6 Pace: 4-6--
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
1 Cheyenne Queen 3/1 Torres F Blasi S
*2 Stealth Cat 5/2 Emigh C Whiting L *2:Hot Trainer
3 Lucy's Lass 7/2 Albarado R Bindner W M
4 Aly's Sweet Sheba 5/1 Fires E Houghton R
5 Northern Dust 10/1 Martin E Yanez M
6 Crimson Mary 12/1 Lantz J Mccoy J 6:Clocker Special-3f
7 Boffo 6/1 Graham J Kassen D 7:Clocker Special-4f
First Time Lasix: Pg#1,6,7 Blinkers On: Pg#2
APX # 2) 6 1/2 Furlongs 3YO/UP Allowance $31,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races
2-3-4), $1 Early Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Top 3: 1-6-3 Speed: 1-4-6 Class: 3-1-4 Pace: 4-1-6
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
*1 Silver Magnum 9/5 Razo E Amoss T *1:Ship in Trainer
2 Mr. Pinstripe 9/2 Marquez C Hobby S 2:Horse for Course
Hot Trainer
3 Giant Hit 2/1 Martin E Van Deren L
4 Mr. Kenny H 10/1 Campbell J Davis L 4:Exiting a Key Race
5 Silver Castle 5/1 Ferrer J Tomillo T
6 Liberty Son 8/1 Torres F Rivelli L
APX # 3) 6 1/2 Furlongs 2YO Maiden Special Weight
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta,
$1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Top 3: 1A-7-4 Speed: 1A-4-1 Class: 1A-7-4 Pace: 4-3-7
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
2 All Luck 12/1 Fires E Fires W
3 Voy Por Uno Mas 15/1 Martin E Yanez M
4 Piratesonthelake 4/1 Albarado R Divito J 4:Hot Trainer
1 Wisp 2/1 Campbell J Nafzger C 1:Clocker Special-5f
5 I. B. Packin 12/1 Douglas R Blasi S
***1A Street Sense 2/1 Borel C Nafzger C *1A:Sharp and Ready
Clocker's-5f (CDX)
6 Goleta Summit 10/1 Marquez C Lukas D W
7 Izzie's Halo 5/2 Razo E Amoss T 7:Clocker's-4f (CDX)
8 Private Humor 6/1 Emigh C Blasi S
First Time Lasix: Pg#5,1A Blinkers On: Pg#3,1
APX # 4) 1 Mile 3YO/UP Claiming $10,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta,
$1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Top 3: 3-9-10 Speed: 10-4-9 Class: 4-10-1 Pace: 1-9-3
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
1 Century Man 12/1 Martin E Tomillo T
2 Don Salomon 20/1 Perez E Razo A
*3 Dew Can Do 8/1 Emigh C Kirby F
4 Nobodyknowsbut Ed 5/1 Lopez U Ali A
5 Case Closer 8/1 Graham J Mitchell A
6 Souper Spirit 20/1 Marquez C Yanez M
7 Chester Cat 30/1 Rodriquez R Perez N
8 Boogie Hill 9/2 Campbell J Campbell M 8:BlueChipTrainerPlay
9 All That's Nice 4/1 Sterling L Reavis M
10 Ground Control 3/1 Mojica R Lukas D W
APX # 5) 5 Furlongs Turf F/M 3YO/UP Allowance $29,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Mid Daily Double (Races 5-6) / $2 Exacta,
$0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Top 3: 4-2-3 Speed: 4-2-1 Class: 4-1-8 Pace: 6-2-8
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
1 Deep Woods 5/1 Graham J Thornbury J
2 Wild Binge 9/2 Perez E Bennett D
3 Christinas Courage 6/1 Razo E Granitz A
*4 Party of Eight 3/1 Meier R Hinsley D
5 Titillating 10/1 Ferrer J Kirby F
6 Fi 4/1 Emigh C Hobby S 6:Hot Trainer
7 Dobson 8/1 Douglas R Block C 7:BlueChipTrainerPlay
8 Bewitching Miss 8/1 Torres F Bigelow C
Blinkers On: Pg#5
APX # 6) 7 Furlongs 3YO/UP Allowance $33,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races
6-7-8), $1 Late Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Top 3: 3-4-6 Speed: 3-4-6 Class: 3-4-2 Pace: 4-3-5
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
1 Foxie's Boy 10/1 Baird E Brueggemann 1:BlueChipTrainerPlay
2 Olympic City 6/1 Douglas R Smith A 2:Horse for Course
***3 Without a Doubt 8/5 Perez E Rivelli L *3:Clocker Special-3f
4 Wonone 2/1 Torres F Bennett D
5 Tepexpan 12/1 Razo E Razo A
6 Halo's Tiger 3/1 Emigh C Blasi S
APX # 7) 1 1/16 Miles Turf Fillies 3YO Nongraded $40,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta,
$1 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Top 3: 6-9-1 Speed: 5-1-6 Class: 9-1-5 Pace: 10-7-1
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
1 My Chickadee 6/1 Emigh C Williamson 1:Exiting a Key Race
2 La Joyeria 12/1 Sterling L Dini M 2:Horse for Course
3 Inbetween Rainbows 20/1 Razo E Brajczewski 3:ExitPossibleKeyRace
4 Carrie My Love 12/1 Martin E Kassen D 4:Clocker Special-4f
5 Meadow Skippin 12/1 Lasala J Rivelli L 5:Exiting a Key Race
*6 Vacare 2/1 Marquez C Block C *6:Horse for Course
Clocker Special-4f
ExitPossibleKeyRace
Hot Tnr/Jky Combo
7 Page Turner 6/1 Torres F Springer F 7:Clocker Special-5f
8 Chetten County 15/1 Albarado R Biehler M
9 Ladyburn 4/1 Graham J Mcgee P 9:Horse for Course
Ship in Trainer
10 Lillians Choice 15/1 Ferrer J Brajczewski
11 Miss Peachtree 10/1 Baird E Thornbury J 11:ExitPossibleKeyRace
APX # 8) 1 1/8 Miles Fillies 3YO Grade III stk/hcp $150,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Late Daily Double (Races 8-9) / $2 Exacta,
$0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta
Top 3: 1-6-5 Speed: 1-5-4 Class: 5-1-6 Pace: 6-2-3
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
*1 Baghdaria 5/2 Emigh C Amoss T
2 My Chickadee 6/1 Douglas R Williamson 2:Exiting a Key Race
3 Cryptoquip 6/1 Albarado R Proctor T 3:Clocker Special-5f
Hot Trainer
Ship in Trainer
4 Meadow Skippin 15/1 Lasala J Rivelli L 4:Exiting a Key Race
5 Coolwind 2/1 Razo E Geier G 5:Horse for Course
6 Rolling Sea 4/1 Graham J Blasi S 6:Clocker Special-4f
7 American Diva 10/1 Torres F Smith A 7:Clocker Special-5f
Exiting a Key Race
APX # 9) 1 Mile Turf 3YO/UP Allowance $31,000
$2 Win / Place / Show / $2 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta
Top 3: 8-3-5 Speed: 5-3-4 Class: 5-3-8 Pace: 4-7-9
Pg# Horse ML Jockey Trainer Power Play Angles
--- ----- ---- ------ ------- -----------------
2 All the Facts 20/1 Torres F Bennett D
3 Elite 5/1 Campbell J Granitz A
4 Tenpointfive 4/1 Sterling L Reavis M 4:Horse for Course
Exiting a Key Race
5 Oak Forest 9/2 Razo E Block C 5:BlueChipTrainerPlay
1 Waves of Glory 6/1 Marquez C Miller V
6 Fielding 12/1 Graham J Gabriel B
7 Sign the Ticket 15/1 Molina T Kasperski J
*8 Big Bold Place 7/2 Albarado R Block C *8:BlueChipTrainerPlay
9 Go Dancing 6/1 Emigh C Goldfine M 9:Horse for Course
Distance Specialist
Clocker Special-4f
BlueChipTrainerPlay
1A Royal Knowledge 6/1 Laviolette Miller V
MEET(05/05 - 08/17) WEEK(08/11 - 08/17)
# % Preferred : # % Preferred
Distance Races Wire Runsty Posts : Distance Races Wire Runsty Posts
---------------------------------------:----------------------------------------
6.0f Dirt 152 24% E/P Middle : 6.0f Dirt 8 13% E/P Mid/Out
6.5f Dirt 83 20% E/P Outside : 6.5f Dirt 5 20% E/P Mid/Out
7.0f Dirt 53 17% P Middle : 7.0f Dirt 3 33% - n/a
1 Mile Dirt 126 13% E/P Outside : 1 Mile Dirt 9 22% E/P Outside
1 1/8m Dirt 60 25% E Inside : 1 1/8m Dirt 5 20% P Middle
5.0f Turf 25 36% P Rail/Ins : 5.0f Turf 3 33% - n/a
1 Mile Turf 50 22% E/P Rail/Ins : 1 Mile Turf 5 0% S Rail/Ins
1 1/16mTurf 49 18% P Rail : 1 1/16mTurf 4 0% - n/a
POWER PLAYS - CONDENSED DETAIL
------------------------------
Blue Chip Trainer Plays - ARLINGTON PARK 8/19/06
Profitable, high win% trainer angles which are applicable to horses running today.
Race Horse Trainer Angle Sts Win% Itm% $2ROI
---- ----- ------- ----- --- ---- ---- -----
#4 Boogie Hill Campbell Mich Turf to dirt 15 27% 60% 1.35
#5 Dobson Block Chris Turf starts 487 20% 48% 0.06
#6 Foxie's Boy Brueggemann R Shipper 44 27% 55% 0.42
#9 Oak Forest Block Chris 90+ days away 90 29% 50% 0.94
#9 Big Bold Place Block Chris Turf starts 487 20% 48% 0.06
#9 Go Dancing Goldfine Mick Turf starts 72 22% 50% 0.17
Sharp and Ready in Today - AP 8/19/2006
Runners that hold a significant Speed and Class advantage in the race.
Race Horse Lastout / Date-trk-# FP
---- ----- ---------------------------- --
#3 Street Sense Md Sp Wt / JUL09CD 6 2
Hot Trainers with Starters Today - AP 8/19/06
Trainers with starters today which have been hot in past 14 days.
Race Horse Trainer Record Last 14 days
---- ----- ------- -------------------
#1 Stealth Cat Whiting Lynn S 3- 2- 1- 0
#2 Mr. Pinstripe Hobby Steve 6- 2- 0- 0
#3 Piratesonthelake Divito James P 3- 2- 0- 0
#5 Fi Hobby Steve 6- 2- 0- 0
#8 Cryptoquip Proctor Thomas F 9- 3- 1- 1
Hot Jockeys With Mounts Today Races Record Last 7 days
----------------------------- ----- ------------------
NONE
Hot Trainer/Jockey Combos Today - AP 8/19/06
T/J combos running today which have been hot in the past 14 days
Race Horse Combo Record Last 14 days
---- ----- ----- -------------------
#7 Vacare Block Chris/Marquez C H Jr 5- 2- 1- 2
Horses exiting Key Races Today - AP 8/19/06
Lists "Key Races" - races that have produced multiple horses that won their
next start - and "Possible Key Races" - one horse has won its next start.
Race Horse Key Race Class Level WnNxtOut/Sts Finish Odds
---- ----- -------- ----------- ----------- ------ ----
#2 Mr. Kenny H 28JUL/AP8 Alw 35000n2x 2/4 7 4.2
#7 My Chickadee 30JUN/AP8 fOC 50000n2x 2/3 3 *1.5
#7 Inbetween Rainbows 26JUL/AP6 fOC 50000n1x 1/2 4 33.7
#7 Meadow Skippin 30JUN/AP8 fOC50000n2x 2/3 4 8.9
#7 Vacare 26JUL/AP6 fOC 50000n1x 1/2 1 *1.1
#7 Miss Peachtree 26JUL/AP6 fOC 50000n1x 1/2 5 4.5
#8 My Chickadee 30JUN/AP8 fOC 50000n2x 2/3 3 *1.5
#8 Meadow Skippin 30JUN/AP8 fOC50000n2x 2/3 4 8.9
#8 American Diva 30JUN/AP8 fOC 50000n2x 2/3 2 11.5
#9 Tenpointfive 23JUL/AP7 sAlw 33000n1x 2/5 1 4.2
Winning Ship-In Trainers with Starters Today - AP 8/19/6
Lists "shipper" horses running today which are trained by a conditioner who
has already successfully shipped in and won with another horse shipping in
from the same track as today's horse.
Race Class Level Horse LstRaced-Fin Trainer Sts Win% Itm% $2ROI
---- ----------- ----- ------------ ------- -------------------
#2 Alw31000 Silver Magnum JUN24/CD / 1 Amoss Thomas 15 27% 67% -0.64
#7 Stk40000 Ladyburn JUL16/CD / 5 Mcgee Paul 11 27% 55% -0.40
#8 Grade III StCryptoquip JUN18/CD / 5 Proctor Thoma 5 20% 60% -0.40
Clocker Specials Running Today - AP 8/19/06
Lists the fastest workouts during the past 7 days based on age and distance.
Ranks
Race Horse Age Trk Dist Date Time Day Age/Dis
---- ----- --- --- ---- ---- ---------- --- -------
#1 Crimson Mary(f) 2yo AP 3f 8/17 37.00 B 3/14 6/44
#1 Boffo(f) 2yo AP 4f 8/16 49.00 Bg 17/55 15/80
#3 Wisp 2yo AP 5f 8/12 1.01.00 B 3/38 4/85
#6 Without a Doubt 4&up AP 3f 8/16 34.00 H 1/20 1/28
#7 Carrie My Love(f) 3yo AP 4f 8/15 47.60 B 1/32 2/106
#7 Vacare(f) 3yo AP 4f 8/13 48.00 B 6/69 5/106
#7 Page Turner(f) 3yo AP 5f 8/15 1.00.60 B 3/30 4/74
#8 Cryptoquip(f) 3yo AP 5f 8/13 1.01.00 B 4/49 7/74
#8 Rolling Sea(f) 3yo AP 4f 8/15 48.40 B 3/32 14/106
#8 American Diva(f) 3yo AP 5f 8/12 1.01.00 B 3/38 7/74
#9 Go Dancing 4&up AP 4f 8/14 48.40 B 4/32 14/123
Horses for Courses Running Today - AP 8/19/06
Runners who have performed exceptionally well over this track and surface
Race Horse Win% Sts - Wn - Pl - Sh TrkSwitch ClassRank
---- ----- ---- --- -- -- -- --------- ----------
#2 Mr. Pinstripe 50% 4 2 0 1 YES 6/6
#6 Olympic City 50% 6 3 0 1 YES 3/6
#7 La Joyeria 50% 4 2 1 0 YES 10/11
#7 Vacare 100% 2 2 0 0 YES 4/11
#7 Ladyburn 75% 4 3 1 0 YES 1/11
#8 Coolwind 60% 5 3 1 1 YES 1/7
#9 Tenpointfive 40% 5 2 0 2 YES 8/10
#9 Go Dancing 100% 2 2 0 0 YES 9/10
Distance Specialists Running Today - AP 8/19/06
Runners who have run exceptionally well at the same distance as today's race
Race Horse Win% Sts - Wn - Pl - Sh DistSwitch ClassRank
---- ----- ---- --- -- -- -- ---------- ----------
#9 Go Dancing 100% 2 2 0 0 YES 9/10
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